By Jack Fitzpatrick if it is right and Bennett Conlin if it is wrong
Betting lines from Draft Kings
The one good thing about obsessively following the Colonial Athletic Association and the FCS as a whole means I kind of know what I am doing when I bet these games. I want to let this be known out from the start, I am not a “sharp” and I am just a regular guy that enjoys betting the FCS and I want to talk them out.
Now, with all that being said, I feel really good about these bets. If you ask Bennett about what that means, he would say whenever I feel good about a bet to fade me. But here I am writing sports betting column on the CAA lines for this week.
There are three games being played this weekend and each one is more enticing than the last.
Maine at Stony Brook (+2.5)
This season we have seen two Stony Brook squads and two Maine squads. Both teams were blown out of the water when playing away from their home stadium, and both were very competitive at home.
Maine picked up a 38-34 win over Albany at home and Stony Brook had a tough 16-13 loss to Villanova at home. Away from their respective home fields, the two teams have lost by a combined 65 points in two games. Coincidentally enough both of their away games came against Delaware in Newark.
I love Stony Brook and the points here and I honestly love even more Stony Brook Moneyline at +110. (+110 means if you bet $100 you will win $110.)
Stony Brook has struggled to start the season sitting at 0-2. The Seawolves offense hasn’t gotten going and has only scored two touchdowns, both on the ground, this season. Meanwhile, after a goose egg in Week 1, Maine exploded for 38 at home.
Here is why I am leaving Stony Brook this week… the Seawolves defend home turf very well. Since 2015 they are 21-10 at home and started this season with a competitive 16-13 loss to the No. 5 team in the nation.
Maine is solid but I don’t think Maine as a team travels well. They got blown out in week 1 on the road then thanks to late heroics beat Albany at home. Stony Brook’s offense I fully believe will find its rhythm against the lackluster Black Bears D.
Rhode Island at Albany (+2)
Give me Albany easily. Albany money line at +104 is the best play here.
Albany, to me, is still a top team in the CAA, they have an elite offense and a solid defense. Led by Jeff Undercuffler this offense averages 29 points per game and should have won the Maine game.
What Rhode Island did against Villanova AT Villanova was amazing, but was that a great Rhode Island team or an overhyped Villanova squad crashing to the ground and coming to terms with the reality of this 2021 Spring season.
It’s the latter.
I am riding with Jeff Undercuffler and the Great Danes to pull this one out and get their 2021 Spring home schedule off with a win.
Elon at William & Mary (-2.5)
William & Mary had a fourth-quarter lead over Richmond and faltered late. Richmond just beat Elon by 24.
Elon is bad.
William & Mary, as long as they don’t make stupid mistakes will win this game. They have a mobile QB who will just pick apart the Phoenix defense from the first whistle to the last. Elon is a bottom-tier defense in everything and will struggle to stop sophomore quarterback Hollis Mathis from having a day.
William & Mary is coming off a 3-3 home record last season and the Tribe were on the rise at the end of the 2019 Fall season. Coming off a tough loss in the first week of conference play they didn’t play in week 2 due to COVID issues in their opponent.
I don’t see a scenario where Elon can come out and compete especially if it is running with the third and fourth string QBs.
William & Mary -2.5 at -110 is the play.
- Stony Brook (ML) +110
- Albany (ML) +104
- William & Mary (-2.5) -110
Parlay odds: +718
Season record: 0-0 this is the first so…